In Will Carroll’s “Unfiltered” column today on Baseball Prospectus, he discusses the trade rumors surrounding Miguel Cabrera most likely leaving South Florida:
* Alex Rodriguez isn’t headed anywhere yet, but he can cross Miami off his list. He’s not one to give a hometown discount and Jeffrey Loria’s not raising payroll. That means that one of the team’s big two is gone and everyone’s expecting it to be Miguel Cabrera. “He’s at the end of his time at 3B,” the baseball source told me, “but he’s still good enough to play 1B. They won’t get quite as much as [Jon Daniels] did for Mark Teixeira, but they’re looking for a different payoff.” The rumored asking price is three players – one pitcher and position player that are under three years of service time and “solid ink-’em-in guys.” The other would be a “plus prospect, not the best guy on the team, but useful. The Marlins will probably look for a slugger.”
The Dodgers, of course, have been prominently mentioned in going after either Alex Rodriguez (who I’d like to reiterate, I am against not because I don’t think he’s “clutch”, but because of the insane expense and years) or Cabrera to fill both their power deficit and the Nomar-sized hole at 3B.
And there’s no question Cabrera can rake. He hasn’t slugged less than .512 in any of his 4 full seasons. I mean, his average stat line is .313/.388/.542 31hr/118rbi. Plus, he’s only 24 – coincidentally, the same age as Andy LaRoche, and as much as I like him, he’s done nothing in the bigs. The issue with Cabrera, though is his weight.. the man likes to eat. A lot.
Anyway, the point of this isn’t to discuss whether Miggy’s a good player – duh – or even if the Dodgers should go after him. The BP piece made me wonder what it would take if the Dodgers did to decide to pursue him.
A. By all accounts he’s not going to be able to play 3B much longer. This would not cure our case of Garciaparritis at 3B – but he’s not going to 1B unless Loney’s part of the deal to the Marlins, and I can’t imagine any of us are in favor of that. Could always put him in the OF if one of the young guys out there are part of the return, though.
B. “Won’t get as much as Texas did for Teixeira”. Texas got a top young C/1B (Salty), a good almost-ready SS (Andrus), and some good but not A+ pitching prospects (Harrison, Feliz, Jones). Transforming that into Dodger prospects, we’d have had to give up, lets say LaRoche (obviously we don’t have a C and Martin’s not going), Hu, McDonald, Elbert, and Orenduff for Teixiera. I’m just winging that, but it seems about the same as what Atlanta gave up. Now, the scout is saying it’d take less than that to get Cabrera, which doesn’t seem awful.
C. It’ll take “three players – one pitcher and position player that are under three years of service time and “solid ink-’em-in guys.” The other would be a “plus prospect, not the best guy on the team, but useful. The Marlins will probably look for a slugger.”
One pitcher and position player under three years of time and are ready-now. Broxton and Kemp? Also, a “prospect, who’s not the best guy on the team, but useful – and a slugger.” If that’s not Delwyn Young, I don’t know who is.
Broxton, Kemp, and Young for Cabrera? That’s actually not horribly unreasonable. I don’t know that I’d actually do it, because I’m so high on Kemp and I’m not sure I want to suffer through Cabrera at 3B, but that deal would not be the end of the world.
UPDATE: Buster Olney chimes in this morning with this:
The most interesting trade parameter mentioned is what the Marlins may ask the Dodgers for, in return for All-Star third baseman Miguel Cabrera: third baseman Andy LaRoche, minor league pitcher Clay Kershaw, and an outfielder – perhaps Matt Kemp.
Jesus. Well, someone’s off base here, because there’s no way in hell you can call that “less than what Texas got for Teixeira.” I mean, why stop there? Why not throw in Russell Martin, the deed to Dodger Stadium, and the corpse of Roy Campanella?