Is Jonathan Broxton Tradeable?

Of all the big stories we’re going to deal with this winter, none might be bigger than the fate of Jonathan Broxton, who’s due to make $7m in the second year of a two-year deal. Though I’ve been a regular defender of Broxton, I’d be completely okay with moving him. That has less to do with his performance than it does with my feeling that relievers are generally so replaceable that only the absolute top-tier are worthy of that kind of salary, particularly on a team with well-known payroll issues.

Until June 26, 2010, Broxton was one of those “top-tier” guys, earning every bit of his salary. After that; well, you know. We’ll get back to that in a second. More important for this discussion is, is there really any sort of trade fit this winter? You can stamp your feet all you want and claim “he has to go”, but regardless of whether I agree with that or not it won’t matter if there’s not a destination for him and an adequate return.

Any team that would take Broxton on would have to fulfill four requirements. #1, they’d need to have hopes of contending next year, since bottom-feeders certainly aren’t going to give up assets for a guy entering his walk year. #2, they’d need to have a healthy payroll, in order to fit most or all of Broxton’s salary. #3, they’d need to have something decent to give back, since you can’t just throw away someone who’s been as successful as Broxton’s been for nothing. #4, they’d need to have a need in the bullpen.

It’s hard to find a good fit.

Let’s eliminate the obvious teams who won’t even be in the conversation. Washington, Florida, Houston, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh, Arizona, Baltimore, Toronto, Kansas City, Cleveland, & Seattle have little hope of contending next year. The other NL West teams all have set closers, and a trade within the division is unlikely anyway. That’s 15 teams out of the way, and 14 more to get through.

AL EAST
New YorkMariano Rivera is obviously the man there (yes, he’s a free agent, but no chance he leaves), and they’re more likely to spend their money on Cliff Lee, Carl Crawford/Jayson Werth, resigning Derek Jeter, and bolstering a suddenly faltering rotation.
Boston – Already have Jonathan Papelbon and Daniel Bard. Papelbon may hit the market, which would only hurt Broxton’s value.
Tampa Bay – Are about to lose Rafael Soriano, but they’re going to need to cut payroll, not add.

AL CENTRAL
Chicago – The Sox are full of talented bullpen arms, from Bobby Jenks and Matt Thornton to Chris Sale and Sergio Santos. Kenny Williams and Ned Colletti certainly have a history of making deals, and Williams is far from predictable, but their offense is brutal and they have bigger concerns than the bullpen.
Detroit – Here’s our first interesting situation. Jose Valverde is under contract and in no danger of losing his job, but the Tigers have money to spend and are looking for bullpen help. Detroit’s a possibility.
MinnesotaMatt Capps is under team control, Joe Nathan will be trying to come back, and their payroll is already at historic levels for them.

AL WEST
Anaheim – With Brian Fuentes gone, Fernando Rodney is the incumbent, so the Angels could be looking for relief help, but trades between the Dodgers and Angels are extremely rare.
Oakland – Already has a talented bullpen, and generally wouldn’t pay this much for another arm.
TexasNeftali Feliz just set a rookie record for saves, and each one makes it less likely that he moves back to the rotation. With Lee a free agent, they’ll likely focus more on the starting pitching and first base.

NL EAST
Atlanta – The Braves have several young arms making waves, like Jonny Venters and Craig Kimbrel, and a limited payroll. Their big concern this winter has to be bats, with big holes in the middle of the lineup.
New York – Still on the hook for Francisco Rodriguez, and they’ve got far bigger concerns and payroll issues of their own.
PhiladelphiaBrad Lidge and Ryan Madson are under contract for next year, and can you really imagine the Phillies wanting to import Broxton after his history there?

NL CENTRAL
ChicagoCarlos Marmol‘s job is secure, and the Cubs may not have a lot of free cash thanks to their many big-ticket obligations.
CincinnatiFrancisco Cordero is signed for next year, though was less than dominant this year. Aroldis Chapman may or may not return to the rotation. I suppose this is possible.
St. LouisRyan Franklin has been waffling on his intentions to retire, but even if he does the Cardinals have to worry about finding the money to pay Albert Pujols and Chris Carpenter, among other needs. (First person to suggestion a Broxton-for-Colby Rasmus deal gets banned from the site forever.)

So Detroit seems like the only real possibility, with lesser cases to be made for Cincinnati and St. Louis. Some teams could use Broxton as a setup man if not a closer, but few will pay $7m for an 8th-inning guy. In addition, the relief market is flush with talent this year, full of arms who may be had for less and didn’t melt down for the last three months. Soriano, Joaquin Benoit, Jon Rauch, Scott Downs, Kevin Gregg, and many others are out there, potentially offering less risk and more value.

Let’s say, for the moment, that Detroit has interest. What kind of deal could be made? I’ve always liked Ryan Raburn, who plays six different positions and can rake. But is a utility man worth a guy who was one of the top closers in baseball up until June? I’m not sure that it is. Otherwise, the Tigers are full of players untouchable (Miguel Cabrera, Justin Verlander), overpaid (Carlos Guillen), or headed into free agency (Brandon Inge, Gerald Laird, Jeremy Bonderman).

From this point of view, a Broxton trade seems unlikely unless the Dodgers eat a good portion of the cash or don’t get much back, and in that case, what’s the point? Besides, it’s not as though the Dodger bullpen isn’t full of their own questions for next season. The only two relievers you can put any faith in are Hong-Chih Kuo and Kenley Jansen, and even then you’re talking about a guy with a fragile arm and a guy who’s been pitching for just over a year. Beyond them, can you depend on Ramon Troncoso? Ronald Belisario? It’s hard to say that you can.

That’s not to say that you can necessarily count on Broxton, either. He was ungodly horrible after June 27, ending a stretch in which he’d been asked to throw 99 pitches in five days. It’s unfair to review his season without noting how incredible he’d been up to that point, however (48/5 K/BB). He claims he’s not hurt, and though his velocity is down, he’s still in the mid-90s. Besides, for anyone who claims that Broxton’s lousy second-half means he’s irreparably damaged… may I remind you of how Chad Billingsley bounced back this year from his terrible finish to 2009? A winter of rest, a better exercise program, and a season away from Joe Torre, could really do wonders here.

Look, if there’s a good deal to be had for Broxton. I’m not against it. I’m just not sure that there is, and he’s too valuable to be given away for mere peanuts.

0 comments

Trackbacks

  1. [...] first noted Raburn in my Jonathan Broxton post last week, and thought that Broxton was too high a price to pay for him. That doesn’t mean I [...]

  2. [...] first noted Raburn in my Jonathan Broxton post last week, and thought that Broxton was too high a price to pay for him. That doesn’t mean I [...]

  3. [...] course, his implosion changes all that, and as I detailed last month, I don’t see much of a trade market for him. That doesn’t mean I wouldn’t do a [...]

  4. [...] but I think the loss of movement on his fastball was the primary culprit. What can you do with him? I looked at trade possibilities and determined that between his $7m salary and his value being at his lowest that it just [...]

  5. blog content, the points i made at…

    the beginning of this post are really important to remember. the point of syndication is to increase traffic to your site, and build up your customer base, while gaining the trust of potential clients.when your blog or website content is syndicated,…

  6. click this says:

    think of good article ideas to get…

    the best results. so here you have 3 options to choose from.1. first, you can write all you know about your niche. it can be interesting facts or information that seems very helpful for you. it may be helpful for someone…

  7. an hour. there is another hormone in…

    your body that you can really take advantage of, and this is hgh. after an intense workout, your hgh hormone is highly elevated and this is a great hormone for muscle-building and fat burning. wait an hour to take full advantage…

  8. make sure that your spelling and grammar…

    are perfect. to gain credibility, add quotes from well established sources. refrain from breaking up your posts with ads. align your text to the left of the screen. if you want readers to explore your website or blog, you can add…

  9. do it for pay or not.”it’s not…

    whether your work appears on the eviscerated remnants of a tree or on the electronic representation of a page that makes you a writer. it’s whether your words move and/or motivate. a novelist may move through the creation of characters and…

  10. certain goals for yourself as you might…

    be able to afford lower quality packages at the start. however, once your site grows, you will be able to spend more on hosting for your blog.one important thing to look for in hosting websites is that they should provide you…

  11. franchising says:

    hundreds of thousands blogs all over the…

    web or, maybe, even more. some of them are focused on particular topic others are general. to tell the truth, there are lots of bloggers that only copy and paste content from other websites, but still there are many quality blogs…

  12. click here says:

    is; or you sell your business online…

    then you are already an internet marketer.the advantage of marketing online is that there is a wide reach of customers because it is showed globally and the startup cost is low.internet marketing before was just a way to share information to…

  13. my website says:

    keywords. these are words or phrases that…

    people type into search engines to find articles. you want them to find your article, so you must think of the keywords they will use to find it. be sure to use the keywords in the title of your article. you…

  14. into leads and sales for your business.â·…

    guest blogging on your blogâ· guest blogging on other blogsâ· article marketingguest blogging on your blog – by allowing other people to write content for you blog can save you time by not having to write you own content. this can…

  15. start making the bigger money. if you…

    want to have regular visitors to your blog one of the most important things you must do is to keep updating it regularly.now if you are doing updates and hopefully adding daily updates, there are ways you can create some money…

  16. thousands of combinations of different food groups…

    and nutritional supplements have been promoted for optimizing muscle-building exercises. most such advice, however, has no scientific backing. fortunately, recent research at european universities offers some promising results on how to stimulate muscl…

  17. right amount of detail but don’t bore…

    your audience. if you feel as if your lens is too short you can add more at a later date but if your lens is too long you can break it up into smaller parts- for easier reading.10. make a list….

  18. more info says:

    updated and it will make the site…

    highly popular; and • articles can get valuable back links to the site increasing the page ranking of the site. for maximizing online presence of any webmaster or website, writing articles for search engine optimization is indispensable.quality ar…

  19. some of these suggestions you will more…

    than likely notice an improvement in the amount of readers and shares that your blogs receives every month. with the growth of blogs in the world of online marketing, website creation is changing a lot. now websites are constantly updated and…

  20. if you are looking for a legitimate…

    way to make money working from home, writing online for reputable employers is definitely the way to go. good luck and thank you for reading. on making a poetry blogwhen it comes to creating a poetry blog, follow your heart and…

  21. let’s say one word will cost you…

    10 cent. now your next step is to decide on how big articles your business requires to write a really informative article on the topic. other blog writing companies charge for the quality level of content you order with them. with…

  22. this “picture”.the other most important ingredient is…

    “team rewards”. instead of rewarding individuals for their performance, consider adapting a team reward approach. some would argue that this approach discourages “start performers”, but they often forget that the share meaning of teamwork is the ut…

  23. with new content and encouraging posts and…

    comments. if you are looking for a one stop solution for all these works, hire a blog writing service. it ensures that you get the best seo friendly content.backlinks are crucialbacklinks are like signboards pointing to your blog from their strategic…

  24. amazing chances that will come your way.3.)…

    provide them with high quality content. bloggers will not take note of how pretty or thin you are your guest posts will be published mainly because of its content. this is why you should invest some time in creating articles with…

  25. accurate in order to hook the readers…

    from start to the end. your home-school teen will write, yes. but what will he or she write? they have lived their own story; they know themselves. but how will the reader know and see and touch what they have experienced?…

  26. provide useful and informative information that provides…

    great value to the reader. blog post writing will get easier when you learn how to leverage these pillar articles. every day millions of people are searching for information online. as a blogger, this can be very beneficial. having the proper…

  27. in nowadays world where people are also…

    almost always busy, such a website where receiving donations system is incorporated into the website, makes it very easy and fast for people to give donations.i f you look at the most professional websites of the big npos like greenpeace usa,…

  28. good info says:

    nonprofit websites make it very easy to…

    have a blog and to use videos and audios.there are quite a few online firms that even specialize in creating websites for non profits. because of the high competition in the services for nonprofits you can get a beautifully designed website…

  29. oxfam america, amnesty international, save the children…

    and many more, you will see that they all have a big donation button on every or almost every page of their websites. those buttons are always very visible.a professional website will also make it much easier to spread the message…

  30. the next five minutes writing about your…

    feelings, thoughts, challenges and dreams. this is important as it will start your process of building your comfort level of sharing with others eventually. at this point the habit of writing is your goal – the content will evolve as you…

  31. way to find an irresistible title is…

    to find titles that instantly grab you by spying on your competitors. go to google and type in the keywords that you will be using for your blog post. jot down the words that attract and grab you, that make you…

  32. click here says:

    know that first you should order about…

    5-7 copies from the company and see what happens. each copy they will deliver to you must be written according to the quality level they had promised. it must pass plagiarism test and quality assurance test, so hire a professional to…

  33. pads says:

    main topic. people like to laugh!5. social…

    bookmarking. here’s the secret weapon. share your blog posts with your facebook fans. encourage them to spread the word! bloggers everywhere are looking for new ways to come up with great blog posts. in fact their very survival depends on it….

  34. low vitamin d symptoms…

    I have seen a great deal of useful elements on your web-site about computer systems. However, I’ve the impression that laptop computers are still less than powerful sufficiently to be a good choice if you usually do jobs that require many power, for i…

  35. Titanic says:

    distracting to your readers. if they are…

    distracted by errors in your writing, they will think that you don’t have enough pride in what you are sharing and won’t bother to read subsequent content that you post.don’t pigeon Titanic hole yourselfif you are a writer who writes different types…

  36. Mac väska says:

    match the voice of your business, not…

    only with your brand image, your marketing strategy and your mission, but also with your own unique style and your target market’s expectations. in order to discover the best online voice for your website content, you need to match what you’re…

  37. date…

    Thanks for your publication. What I want to comment on is that when you are evaluating a good on the net electronics store, look for a internet site with full information on critical indicators such as the privacy statement, basic safety details, any p…

  38. dating websites…

    Thank you for another informative blog. Where else could I get that kind of information written in such a perfect way? I’ve a project that I am just now working on, and I’ve been on the look out for such information….

  39. click here says:

    dates…

    I am really loving the theme/design of your weblog. Do you ever run into any browser compatibility issues? A small number of my blog readers have complained about my website not operating correctly in Explorer but looks great in Opera. Do you have any …

  40. of doing this is that you will…

    gain page rank while the down side is that you Titanic might loose quality to your articles.to avoid such mistakes you need to take time to write a good post, and always remember to edit it. alternatively, you can also hire a…

  41. out your site.backlinks are a good way…

    to improve your page ranking. visit other peoples blogs and leave a comment. don’t just say ‘nice blog’ or ‘liked your post’, make your comments worthwhile and you will soon have people visiting your blog and leaving comments.use keywords effectiv…

  42. Yelp says:

    people who can add content to your…

    site without you having to do so much of the work. that is, as long as the articles and posts are in keeping with the style and feel of your site.so many opportunities can arise from having a network of writers,…

  43. extra mile.2. i suggest that you write…

    “how to” articles. i cannot express myself any more passionately when i tell you that they are truly designed to drive traffic. every successful blog will include “how to” articles at least 3 times a week. simply write an article that…

  44. you be seen as providing useful information….

    with other avenues such as article marketing, your articles will be posted on a third-party web site and you’ll get almost none of the benefits of this form of altruism. all you’ll be doing is referring readers to those other businesses…

  45. the person you are interviewing is an…

    expert then that’s just all the better.start researchingas a blogger and a writer you will be in a constant process of research and learning, you should always be studying different topics to write about. researching and writing on different topics wi…

  46. they will share your posts on the…

    social networks and tell their friends about it.if you consistently churn out great content, sooner or later, people will begin to talk about your blog and you’ll have more and more visitors.2. entertainingas well as great content, you also need to…

  47. Airsoft says:

    Evike.com…

    Looking for the highest quality paintball guns around? Find them all at Evike.com, home to everything Airsoft and paitball….