Money For Nothing, and Hits For Free

It’s 2012, and I’m referencing a song mostly known for having a video that shows what people in 1985 thought 1997 would look like. Deal with it.

After the surprising spending spree that kicked off the offseason, one question no one’s really been able to answer adequately is, “are the Dodgers really even any better offensively for it?” Most of the articles I’ve seen on that topic start off with “if Andre Ethier & Juan Uribe return to form, and if James Loney hits like he did in the second half and not the first…” which is all well and good, except that none of those three are new acquisitions and their performances were going to be the most important no matter how many other declining veterans were brought on. For the approximately $22m the Dodgers spent on six offensive signings this winter (other than Matt Kemp‘s extension), does it improve them at all over last season?

Over at Beyond the Box Score, David Fung takes a graphical look using wRC (weighted runs created) and wRAA (weighted runs above average), along with 2012 Bill James projections. Remember, this is talking about offense only.

click to embiggen

Fung isn’t including returnees Juan Rivera and Tony Gwynn, as I would have, but they wouldn’t change the overall impression that for all of the money spent, the offense isn’t markedly improved, with the newcomers seemingly unlikely to provide more offense than the departing Jamey Carroll, Rod Barajas, and Casey Blake. Mark Ellis / Adam Kennedy probably won’t contribute all that much more than  Carroll / Aaron Miles (if even as much), and while I think he’s far too optimistic on Matt Treanor‘s projected 87 OPS+, I’ll take the over on A.J. Ellis at 69, so that’ll probably even out.

This also doesn’t take into account the terrifying prospect of a full season of Rivera in left field, since after being lousy for five of six months last season, he’s not exactly high on my optimism list as he turns 34. The damage could be limited by allowing Jerry Sands a healthy amount of playing time in Rivera’s stead, though whether that’s realistic remains to be seen. (By the way, who among us wouldn’t have traded a fallen top prospect and a middling pitching prospect, say Chris Withrow & Josh Wall or Cole St. Clair, to the White Sox for Carlos Quentin, as the Padres just did? Quentin probably can’t play defense any better than Rivera can, but he’s at least under 30 with great power and good plate discipline, and at ~$7m in his final year of arbitration wouldn’t have cost all that much more than what Rivera will get.)

With the estimated offensive production coming in not much better than the production going out, the hope for success, as it always has been, rests on those returning. Uribe has to be better. Loney has to be August/September Loney. Ethier has to be healthy and productive (which I believe he will). Dee Gordon has to keep improving. Kemp has to repeat or come close to repeating his stellar 2011. If a majority of those questions don’t land on the right side for the Dodgers, their season is sunk.

That being the case, it’s worth repeating: why spend tens of millions on older, mediocre role players unlikely to bring much improvement?

0 comments

Trackbacks

  1. Cheap Kasper Suits…

    [...]right here are a few web page links to sites which I connect to for the fact we feel they will be truly worth checking out[...]…

  2. clemency…

    [...]listed below are several web links to web sites which I connect to seeing as we believe there’re definitely worth browsing[...]…

  3. URL says:

    … [Trackback]…

    [...] Read More: mikesciosciastragicillness.com/2012/01/02/money-for-nothing-and-hits-for-free/ [...]…

  4. Fantastic Sams Coupons…

    [...]right here are several web links to internet websites which I connect to since we feel these are worthwhile visiting[...]…

  5. Great Clips Coupons…

    [...]listed below are a few references to websites online I always link to for the fact we believe these are worth visiting[...]…

  6. Great Clips Coupons…

    [...]what follows are a few web page links to internet pages we connect to for the fact we believe there’re worthy of browsing[...]…

  7. ann romney…

    [...]following are a handful of url links to websites I always link to because we believe they are seriously worth checking out[...]…

  8. cabin in the woods…

    [...]following are a handful of urls to web-sites which I connect to for the fact we think there’re worthwhile visiting[...]…

  9. Zimmerman…

    [...]listed below are a couple of hyper-links to webpages we link to because we feel they are truly worth visiting[...]…

  10. dancing with the stars results…

    [...]here are a few references to sites that we link to because we feel these are worthy of checking out[...]…

  11. … [Trackback]…

    [...] Read More here: mikesciosciastragicillness.com/2012/01/02/money-for-nothing-and-hits-for-free/ [...]…

  12. … [Trackback]…

    [...] Read More: mikesciosciastragicillness.com/2012/01/02/money-for-nothing-and-hits-for-free/ [...]…

  13. makan bakso says:

    hello buddy!…

    I completely agree with you!! I would love it if you would post more!! Ipm…

  14. symptoms of low vitamin d…

    Also a thing to mention is that an online business administration study course is designed for college students to be able to easily proceed to bachelors degree courses. The 90 credit diploma meets the lower bachelor diploma requirements and when you e…

  15. … [Trackback]…

    [...] Informations on that Topic: mikesciosciastragicillness.com/2012/01/02/money-for-nothing-and-hits-for-free/ [...]…

  16. … [Trackback]…

    [...] Read More: mikesciosciastragicillness.com/2012/01/02/money-for-nothing-and-hits-for-free/ [...]…

  17. cash advance says:

    … [Trackback]…

    [...] There you will find 60205 more Infos: mikesciosciastragicillness.com/2012/01/02/money-for-nothing-and-hits-for-free/ [...]…

  18. … [Trackback]…

    [...] Informations on that Topic: mikesciosciastragicillness.com/2012/01/02/money-for-nothing-and-hits-for-free/ [...]…

  19. P90X2Review says:

    … [Trackback]…

    [...] Read More: mikesciosciastragicillness.com/2012/01/02/money-for-nothing-and-hits-for-free/ [...]…

  20. internet dating…

    Generally I don’t read post on blogs, however I wish to say that this write-up very forced me to check out and do so! Your writing taste has been surprised me. Thanks, quite great article….

  21. black dating…

    Wow! Thank you! I continually wanted to write on my site something like that. Can I take a part of your post to my website?…

  22. Here Ya Go says:

    ann romney…

    [...]below are a few web page links to online websites we connect to seeing that we think they really are worth visiting[...]…

  23. click here says:

    100 free dating…

    It is appropriate time to make some plans for the longer term and it’s time to be happy. I have read this put up and if I could I wish to counsel you few attention-grabbing issues or suggestions. Maybe you could write next articles relating to this ar…

  24. hd projector says:

    hd projector…

    [...]we like to honor quite a few other world wide web web sites around the web, even when they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Beneath are some webpages really worth checking out[...]…

  25. think says:

    free dating site…

    You are a very intelligent person!…

  26. Google says:

    Google…

    [...]The info talked about within the report are a few of the very best obtainable [...]…

  27. dating site free…

    Excellent beat ! I would like to apprentice while you amend your website, how could i subscribe for a blog website? The account aided me a acceptable deal. I had been tiny bit acquainted of this your broadcast provided bright clear concept…

  28. Google says:

    Google…

    [...]Wonderful story, reckoned we could combine a couple of unrelated data, nevertheless seriously worth taking a look, whoa did one particular study about Mid East has got far more problerms at the same time [...]…

  29. facebook sex says:

    cupid dating site…

    Heya i๏ฟฝm for the primary time here. I found this board and I to find It really useful & it helped me out a lot. I’m hoping to present something back and help others like you aided me….

  30. lens is too long you can break…

    it up into smaller parts- for easier reading.10. make a list. make a list of all the blog posts you wish to write and all of the topics you wish to cover and then each time you write an article tick…

  31. facebook.sex says:

    free internet dating…

    Wow! This could be one particular of the most useful blogs We have ever arrive across on this subject. Basically Wonderful. I’m also a specialist in this topic so I can understand your effort….

  32. free gay videos…

    [...]below you?ll find the link to some internet sites that we assume you should visit[...]…

  33. leather handbags…

    [...]although web-sites we backlink to beneath are considerably not associated to ours, we really feel they’re truly worth a go by means of, so have a look[...]…

  34. Superb girls playing with boys….

    [...]very few web-sites that occur to be detailed below, from our point of view are undoubtedly well worth checking out[...]…

  35. Blonde and brunette fucks….

    [...]always a massive fan of linking to bloggers that I enjoy but really don’t get quite a bit of link appreciate from[...]…

  36. Pacers…

    [...]below are a few listings to places I always connect to seeing as we think they really are truly worth browsing[...]…

  37. zetrilonika says:

    Websites you should visit…

    [...]below you’ll find the link to some sites that we think you should visit[...]……

  38. bad credit mobile phones…

    [...]Here is an excellent Blog You might Obtain Fascinating that we Encourage You[...]…

  39. letenky vaclavak…

    [...]always a huge fan of linking to bloggers that I adore but don?t get a good deal of link like from[...]…

  40. san diego web design…

    [...]we prefer to honor many other web web pages around the web, even though they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Underneath are some webpages really worth checking out[...]…

  41. New York Times Bestsellers…

    [...]please take a look at the web-sites we stick to, including this 1, as it represents our picks through the web[...]…

  42. click for source…

    [...]we like to honor many other world-wide-web web-sites around the net, even when they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Beneath are some webpages really worth checking out[...]…

  43. Read Full Article…

    [...]check below, are some entirely unrelated web-sites to ours, on the other hand, they may be most trustworthy sources that we use[...]…

  44. More Bonuses says:

    More Bonuses…

    [...]Wonderful story, reckoned we could combine a handful of unrelated data, nevertheless definitely worth taking a appear, whoa did one find out about Mid East has got far more problerms at the same time [...]…

  45. our website says:

    our website…

    [...]we like to honor a lot of other net internet sites around the net, even though they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Below are some webpages really worth checking out[...]…

  46. Check This Out…

    [...]Wonderful story, reckoned we could combine a handful of unrelated information, nevertheless actually worth taking a appear, whoa did one find out about Mid East has got much more problerms also [...]…

  47. weight loss says:

    weight loss…

    [...]Every after inside a although we opt for blogs that we read. Listed beneath are the most recent web pages that we pick [...]…

  48. kindie says:

    kindie…

    [...]that will be the end of this report. Right here you will obtain some web-sites that we consider you?ll value, just click the links over[...]…

  49. beneficial. having the proper blog post writing…

    techniques will ensure that you are not kicked to the curb by your competition. if you want to get the most out of your blogging, keep reading.follow these proven methods for writing great blog posts:1. write for the readers. a good…

  50. wood working patterns…

    [...]just beneath, are a lot of entirely not related web-sites to ours, nevertheless, they’re certainly worth going over[...]…

  51. Google says:

    Google…

    [...]Wonderful story, reckoned we could combine a number of unrelated information, nevertheless really really worth taking a appear, whoa did a single master about Mid East has got more problerms at the same time [...]…

  52. bad credit credit card…

    [...]always a big fan of linking to bloggers that I really like but really don’t get a great deal of link adore from[...]…

  53. auto insurance quote…

    [...]check beneath, are some totally unrelated sites to ours, nonetheless, they may be most trustworthy sources that we use[...]…

  54. PERU TRAVEL says:

    PERU TRAVEL…

    [...]please take a look at the web sites we comply with, like this one, as it represents our picks from the web[...]…

  55. electrical contractors…

    [...]usually posts some pretty intriguing stuff like this. If you?re new to this site[...]…

  56. Best Price Best Diamonds…

    [...]we came across a cool web-site that you could possibly delight in. Take a appear in case you want[...]…

  57. MMA Fight Fans…

    [...]here are some hyperlinks to internet sites that we link to since we consider they’re worth visiting[...]…

  58. cheap hotels worldwide…

    [...]Sites of interest we have a link to[...]…

  59. [...] a cold sweat. Those muscles may provoke envy in many, but they can also win you a bunch of respect.When people look at body builders, there is often a suggestion that the word “vanity” is never f…term body builder can often be hard to distinguish from a moving wall. But to assume that vanity is [...]

  60. south korea merchant accounts…

    [...]the time to read or go to the content material or web pages we’ve linked to below the[...]…

  61. replicas merchant account…

    [...]the time to read or stop by the content or web pages we have linked to below the[...]…

  62. friv says:

    friv…

    [...]please pay a visit to the web-sites we adhere to, including this one particular, because it represents our picks from the web[...]…

  63. sex toys vibrators…

    [...]Here are some of the web pages we advocate for our visitors[...]…

  64. sex toys dildos…

    [...]we came across a cool web-site that you could possibly delight in. Take a search in case you want[...]…

  65. flirt says:

    flirt…

    [...]one of our guests not long ago advised the following website[...]…

  66. Mentally Abnormal…

    [...]very couple of websites that transpire to become comprehensive below, from our point of view are undoubtedly very well really worth checking out[...]…

  67. sito tatuaggi…

    [...]that is the end of this article. Here you will uncover some web pages that we assume you will appreciate, just click the links over[...]…

  68. tatuaggi fate…

    [...]Here is a great Weblog You may Come across Fascinating that we Encourage You[...]…

  69. tatuaggi maori…

    [...]please go to the internet sites we follow, including this 1, as it represents our picks through the web[...]…

  70. Coach Outlet Usa…

    [...]we prefer to honor lots of other internet web pages on the internet, even when they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Under are some webpages worth checking out[...]…

  71. Clicking Here…

    [...]The facts talked about in the article are a number of the top accessible [...]…

  72. Learn More Here…

    [...]Here are several of the web sites we advocate for our visitors[...]…

  73. Going Here says:

    Going Here…

    [...]check below, are some completely unrelated web-sites to ours, nevertheless, they may be most trustworthy sources that we use[...]…

  74. Home Page says:

    Home Page…

    [...]Here are a number of the web pages we suggest for our visitors[...]…

  75. Click This Link…

    [...]Here is an excellent Weblog You might Find Fascinating that we Encourage You[...]…

  76. flowers store in israel…

    [...]we like to honor lots of other world wide web web sites on the internet, even when they aren?t linked to us, by linking to them. Underneath are some webpages worth checking out[...]…

  77. Hate Google Adsense?…

    [...]just beneath, are a lot of absolutely not associated websites to ours, having said that, they may be surely worth going over[...]…

  78. mujeres says:

    Useful Website…

    [...]Someone said this post it actually was excellent.[...]…

  79. Cheap car insurance in Georgia…

    [...]usually posts some incredibly intriguing stuff like this. If you?re new to this site[...]…

  80. [...] a really small town, on a site with terrible reputation, actually worked.Powered by Yahoo! AnswersKen asks…Does anybody know if this exists or not on match.com still?So I have a profile I guess an…ntent">Does anybody know if this exists or not on match.com still?So I have a profile I guess and [...]

  81. college student tutoring, free anatomy training…

    [...]Every after inside a whilst we opt for blogs that we read. Listed beneath are the latest websites that we pick out [...]…

  82. tatuaggi says:

    tatuaggi…

    [...]the time to study or go to the content or web sites we have linked to beneath the[...]…

  83. step children…

    [...]Every when in a though we pick out blogs that we study. Listed beneath are the most up-to-date internet sites that we choose [...]…

  84. in writing your own bid documents if…

    you are not adequately skilled and experienced in the tasks that are at hand. if that important contract comes up for grabs which will really benefit your company or organisation then it is always best to take no risks and hire…

  85. relevant matter for your site it is…

    essential to take help of specialized seo content writers.an expert copywriter who forms the core of seo content writing forum can render relevant and specialized content that help your site to gain higher ranking. being, a part of seo content writing…