2012 is Important, But It’s Not the Only Goal

A quick thought for the day… over the last two weeks or so, as the Dodgers have occasionally looked terrible, I’ve heard many variations on the following theme:

“If the Dodgers spent all that money and made all those trades and don’t even get into the playoffs in 2012, they’ll have wasted it all for nothing!”

To which I say, wait, what now? Sure, if you go out and assume more than a quarter-billion dollars in future commitments, deal about a dozen prospects, and make one of the most controversial trades in the history of the sport, expectations are going to rise – and rightfully so. Some of the moves were made to help the Dodgers win right now, and if 2012 ends with the Dodgers on the outside looking in, it’ll be a big disappointment.

But to suggest that all of that effort was expended with 2012 in mind as the sole and singular goal… well, that’s just foolish. Yes, Hanley Ramirez was a big immediate upgrade over Dee Gordon and/or Juan Uribe, but he’s also going to be that for the next two seasons in a market devoid of left side help. Sure, Adrian Gonzalez required a massive outlay, but it wasn’t just to replace James Loney for six weeks, it was to fill a hole for the next six years when there’s no immediate help coming from the farm system or the free agent market at the position. Josh Beckett‘s contract was a requirement in acquiring Gonzalez, and while he’s needed right now to help reinforce a rotation weakened by injuries to Chad Billingsley & Ted Lilly, he’s also around for the next two years to hopefully help fill out the back end. You can argue about whether this is a good thing, but Nick Punto is signed up through next season too. Hell, Carl Crawford is already out for the year, so any value he provides – if there is any – will come in 2013 or later.

Sure, Shane Victorino, Brandon League, & Joe Blanton are all free agents and are around strictly to help in 2012. Fine. Every team in contention makes moves like that, and while Victorino has been generally awful and League & Blanton each struggled early before turning it around lately, I don’t think any of the prospects dealt for them are really going to be anyone we miss, unless you’re the world’s biggest Logan Bawcom fan.

A 2012 stretch run was absolutely part of what the Dodgers were going for, but it’s far from the only thing these moves accomplished. This club was built on a tight budget over the last few seasons, and there’s only so much you can do in-season to change that, especially when the sale wasn’t even completed a month into the year. The fact that the Dodgers are even in position right now is incredible, considering where our expectations were to start 2012, and what these moves have done is taken a very flawed team and improved them greatly. But there’s still holes to be fixed – a questionable starting rotation, the continued existence of Juan Uribe, Adam Kennedy, Juan Rivera, a sometimes patchwork bullpen, a limited prospect pool in the minors – and it’s going to take more than three or four months to handle all that.

What the new ownership has done is set this team up well for the future, with a core offensive group of Gonzalez, Ramirez, Matt Kemp, & Andre Ethier that’s locked down for years. If you want to argue they overpaid to do so, then you’re absolutely going to have an argument to do so. But it’s not all about 2012. Whether they make the playoffs or fizz out in September (and this is a separate conversation, but it’s worth arguing whether making that one-game wild card bout and then going home even matters), the Dodger team that ends 2012 is going to be far, far, stronger than the one that started it. It’s prepared to make some real noise in the NL for years, and if things play out the way we hope they will, I doubt anyone will say, “well, yeah, but they should have done more in 2012.”

2012 is important, and we’ve seen what impact the new owners have had already in just the perception of this team around baseball. It’s not the only thing, and no matter what the next four weeks of baseball brings, it’s not going to change what we expect could be a very bright future.

601 comments
Nineteen84
Nineteen84

Outside critics fail to see that the move was geared more towards 2013 and beyond. Well done.

Real Tom
Real Tom

Excellent piece. I hadn't read it yet. I was hoping to see you mention the commitment to four outfielders over the next 6 years. I'm not saying that Cuban Bo Jackson is definitely going to be a legitimate Major League outfielder, but they certainly paid him like one. And let's be honest, they won't have an easy time trading Crawford or Puig without paying most of their contracts.

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

Cardiac Ablation. VND explain dat shit!

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

 @el serracho Still gotta crack the chest open tho right? 

 

:-----(

Disgruntled Goat
Disgruntled Goat moderator

@EephusBlue I'm going with no, based on this 

Risks of catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation include, but are not limited to: stroke, esophageal injury and death.

[edit]

 

Frank J Lapidus
Frank J Lapidus

So anything of these rumblings and whispers in the dark about the Giants and how they steal signs?  Something has to explain how they continually and without fail, play over their heads and beyond their talent level.

Dang88
Dang88

Can we program Reggie Jackson to kill Uribe?

Dang88
Dang88

Good god @truebluela: Juan Rivera is taking grounders at third base right now

Disgruntled Goat
Disgruntled Goat moderator like.author.displayName 1 Like

 @Dang88 because it'd be good to have more chances to get his bat into the lineup. 

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

RT @truebluela: Ted Lilly will throw a simulated game on Wednesday. Relief role still possible

 

well......theres that

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

Ah shit

RT @truebluela: No new news on a second PRP injection, but Don Mattingly didn't sound too optimistic that Chad Billingsley would pitch again this year

Frank J Lapidus
Frank J Lapidus

So news of next year's schedule is already leaking out.  Just please tell me whatever it is, the rest of the NL West will have an identical one

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator like.author.displayName 1 Like

 @Frank J Lapidus probably not. of course we see the Yanks and Red Sox. giants i assume see Astros and Royals

Frank J Lapidus
Frank J Lapidus

 @EephusBlue we were promised more identical schedules!

Frank J Lapidus
Frank J Lapidus

 @EephusBlue I did find out that all NL West teams will play the Red Sox next year, with the Rockies getting them twice.  Since we're getting the Yankees twice, that's fair...right?

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator

Have to admit, I'm not entirely sure what the point is of putting Guerra on the disabled list.

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

 @Mike Petriello if its oblique hes probably done for the season right? so maybe to put him on 60day to free up roster?

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator

 @EephusBlue maybe, but then do that. No need to bother with 15 first.

Musings of a cat
Musings of a cat

Wore my Howie Long jersey out today. Dude I ran into thought it was a penis joke. #EastCoastProblems

DBrim
DBrim moderator

 @Cadtalfryn My roommate's girlfriend's family is apparently very good friends with the Long family.

Musings of a cat
Musings of a cat

I want to switch back to Angry Ethier but we're undefeated with this avatar. 

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

 @Cadtalfryn KEEEEEEEEP IT

Musings of a cat
Musings of a cat like.author.displayName 1 Like

 @EephusBlue It's weird that otherwise rational people are so superstitious about baseball of all things. Don't you nerds know it's just math with sticks?

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

 @Cadtalfryn Funny enough I am wearing my UH warriors cap since Saturday. And depending on how you look at it, it helped the warriors haha.

Musings of a cat
Musings of a cat

 @EephusBlue It's never been hard and fast but the Dodgers seem to win more when I'm wearing an A's cap or nothing Dodgers related. But I did used to have a lucky t-shirt that was 11-0 when I went to the stadium before a couple straight losses. Now it's so ratty (I got it when I was 7) that I'm embarrassed to wear it out of the house.

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

 @Cadtalfryn I try not to be but cant help it. Been wearing a different cap since we started winning these last 3