Dodgers Squander Opportunities to Fall 5.5 Out

I know everyone’s going to want to blame tonight’s loss on Don Mattingly. It’s the way baseball works, is it not? Managers get way too much credit for wins and far too much blame for losses, and Mattingly didn’t do himself any favors in tonight’s crucial seventh inning.

So let’s get right to it: Josh Beckett was more than effective through six two-run innings, but ran into some trouble in the seventh. After a single, a walk, and a sacrifice bunt, Beckett was faced with men on second and third with one out. Mattingly ordered the intentional walk to red-hot Angel Pagan to load the bases, and with Brandon League ready to go, the manager walked out to remove Beckett.

Except, no. He didn’t. Or as I recapped it in real time:

Remember, this is September, the time of expanded rosters. You have something like 39 pitchers down in the bullpen, so you never have to worry about pulling a pitcher too early because it might exhaust your bullpen. You especially never need to worry about pushing your luck with a veteran pitcher who had given you more than you probably had a right to expect.

Beckett stayed in, of course, and in what may have been the most predictable outcome ever, Marco Scutaro popped a single to right field, scoring two and basically putting the game away. It’d be sad if it weren’t so clearly apparent that this was going to happen. Scratch that: it was still sad.

The most depressing thing of all? Mattingly was right on the precipice of a brilliant move that would have earned him endless praise. League is ostensibly this team’s closer right now, and he’s been excellent lately.  For years, we’ve all railed against the usage of the traditional “closer”, nailed to often low-leverage ninth-inning duties, and if Mattingly had put his closer into the game when things were really on the line, we’d have all loved him for it. He did, eventually, bring in League, but only after it was too late.

So close, yet so far.

*******

Got that out of our systems? Good. Now let’s get to the real reason that the Dodgers lost this game, and stop me if you’ve heard this before: the 2-6 “heart of the order” of Shane Victorino, Adrian Gonzalez, Matt Kemp, Hanley Ramirez, & Andre Ethier combined to go 0-20 with three walks. That is, safe to say, atrocious. You can blame “jelling“. You can blame Mattingly for refusing to move A.J. Ellis up from the eight spot. (And on Ellis, even if he was hitting higher right now, he’d just be getting stranded by these guys.) You can blame it on whatever you like. But it’s a simple equation: these guys don’t hit, the team doesn’t score.

The even more infuriating part about this was that Tim Lincecum wasn’t that good. This wasn’t vintage Timmy mowing guys down left and right; despite occasional flashes of a wicked split-fingered fastball, this was the 2012 “I’m going to walk seven dudes!” version. Until the ninth inning, there wasn’t a single frame where they didn’t get at least one runner on, but they just could not either get the big hit or string enough smaller ones together to make it matter.

Where’s your loss? There’s your loss.

*******
All that being said, I can’t let Adam Kennedy‘s night go by. Here’s the thing about Kennedy: even when you happen to stumble upon the rare positive contribution from him, like the 6th inning home run that barely cleared the right field wall and put the Dodgers up 2-1, he’s still Adam Kennedy. It just usually takes a little longer for that innate Kennedy-ness to come out than it did tonight, when he allowed a two-out Hunter Pence single to bounce under his barehanded attempt in the bottom of the inning. (Though it was charitably labeled an infield hit, most good third basemen would have had a play on it.) Not only that, he ended up getting pulled the very next inning after injuring his groin on that bad play. So in the span of less than two full innings, he went from “potential hero” to “likely goat” to “oh right, he’s old & busted.”

So if we had to sum up Kennedy’s night from start to end in less than five seconds, well, this is the only way you can:

328 comments
Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator

Game thread up now. I hope you're not all too disgusted to read it.

Tony Fernandez (SVS Afficionado)
Tony Fernandez (SVS Afficionado)

Who leads the team in offensive WAR?

 

Fangraphs: AJ Ellis, Andre Ethier, Matt Kemp

Baseball Prospectus: AJ Ellis, Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier

Baseball Reference: Andre Ethier, AJ Ellis, Mark Ellis

 

Can you imagine if Rod Barajas was still here? He's rocking a -0.6 WAR this year.

Tony Fernandez (SVS Afficionado)
Tony Fernandez (SVS Afficionado)

This makes no sense to me. Everyone in the starting lineup has a wRC+ above 100 the past 7 days (except for Kemp). That's really good. So with that going on, how in the world is the offense struggling so much? Matt Kemp is not single-handedly destroying the offensive production.

 

Makes about as much sense as this.

 

http://gifsoup.com/webroot/animatedgifs4/2070864_o.gif

DBrim
DBrim moderator

@phattonez7 And what's their wRC+ with runners in scoring position? -100?

TheConman
TheConman like.author.displayName 1 Like

#Dodgers lineup: M Ellis 2B, Victorino CF, Gonzalez 1B, Ramirez SS, Ethier RF, Cruz 3B, Rivera LF, AJ Ellis C, Capuano P.

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator like.author.displayName 1 Like

 @TheConman Glad we called up AC to help tank the topes playoff chances so he can ride the pine for Juan Rivera

Gilbert (Vengeance)
Gilbert (Vengeance)

 @EephusBlue  @TheConman AC vs Cain dosnt seem like it would work out well... im sure Rivera has a .700 average agains Cain in 5 PAs

IBBFTW
IBBFTW

I'm pretty sure Cain is better than most AAAA pitchers.@Gilbert_Vengeance @EephusBlue @TheConman

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

 @Gilbert_Vengeance  @TheConman well it did pay off with AK vs Lincecum. Goddamnit I totally thought they were gonna shell Lincecum last night. ah well fuckit

Gilbert (Vengeance)
Gilbert (Vengeance)

 @EephusBlue  @TheConman agreed... im just saying Mattingly goes by the numbers so much that i wouldnt be suprized if Rivera has a 1.000 average in 1 plate appearance or somthing like that lol

DBrim
DBrim moderator

 @TheConman Well, there's your rest for Kemp.  Hopefully he comes back strong.

TheConman
TheConman

 @DBrim interested to see for how long this time. I mean we just had an off day on thursday. I wonder if this will be an extended break

TheConman
TheConman like.author.displayName like.author.displayName 2 Like

@DBrim I simultaneously want him to sit and rest and also want him in the lineup against Zito, but no point in putting him on the DL at this point with extended rosters, right?

DBrim
DBrim moderator

 @TheConman He absolutely kills Zito, so I expect him back in the lineup tomorrow, unless they're planning on putting him on the DL.

DBrim
DBrim moderator like.author.displayName like.author.displayName 2 Like

Brandon McCarthy ‏@BMcCarthy32

"Crazy about this children's tylenol, can't believe they give it to kids."

 

Guestu76987
Guestu76987

Never in my life have I wanted a Dodger team to just forfeit the rest of the season in early September. Hell, even in 2005 and 2011, I was optimistic that maybe we could rally to win a shitty NL West. But right now, in 2012? I really, really wish the Dodgers would just officially give up (since, by the looks of things, they've already pretty much packed it in anyway), call off their remaining games, and let us get on with our lives until next spring. It'd be much easier on my blood pressure.

Can of Corn
Can of Corn

 @Guestu76987 Dodgers could bring in Ryan Braun and Miguel Cabrerar right now and still struggle to score.  That's how much confidence this group has.

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator

@Guestu76987 2005? They lost 91 games.

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

 @Mike Petriello  @Guestu76987 haha I know what you mean. in 2005 I still had hope for some bizarre reason. Looking back I think to myself what the hell was I thinking. Yet there it is.  THis year, it just feels like too much is stacked against them. Not saying I agree they should just quit but I get the sentiment. 

Guestu76987
Guestu76987

 @Mike Petriello  @Guestu76987 Only 5 1/2 out on September 1st, and only 5 out ten days later. The rest of the division was so awful that it didn't seem inconceivable that they could come back. In 2012, that seems to be impossible given how well the Giants are playing and the fact that they own us.

Can of Corn
Can of Corn

I'll commend ownership for spending money and bringing in players, but the Dodgers are 5-8 with Adrian Gonzalez, and 20-21 since the Hanley trade.  That's pretty pathetic.  I really don't understand how you have a lineup of Victorino, Agon, Kemp, Ramirez and Eithier, and score 2 or 3 runs most games, barely. 

 

They could get that production by acquiring no on and saving over 300 million in salary commitments.  Maybe they catch fire next season and win the division and 95 games, or maybe they turn into another version of the '99 Dodgers that had a bloated payroll and were a disappointment. 

 

Just curious to know if there's any leaders on this team.

 

Gilbert (Vengeance)
Gilbert (Vengeance) like.author.displayName like.author.displayName like.author.displayName 3 Like

Im not looking at our manager situation as "well who else is out there if not him." Im looking at it as "He's still a new manager who our players love playing for and still has some learning to do." Remember guys he was a brand new manager last year and the Dodgers were red hot in the second half... this year no one thought we'd be fighting for the division and we again started red hot. Injuries hurt us real bad and the trades not producing isnt his fault.... yeah he puts questionable line-ups out there somtimes but at the end of the day, the players arn't getting the job done.... Not his fault that his big bats are coming up real small.... i say lets stick with Mattingly.

JT_Dutch
JT_Dutch

 @Gilbert_Vengeance ... If you're happy with what's been going on, then sure - keeping Mattingly as a manager is fine. If you think Mattingly is in way over his head, it's time to get him some managerial experience in the minors, and get someone in here (or promote someone) who actually knows what's he's doing.