Brandon League Returns to Dodgers For Three Years, And The Internet is Angry

Well, that was quick: per Dylan Hernandez, Brandon League has re-signed with the Dodgers, and it’s for three years, just like we thought. Hernandez follows up that it’ll be worth $22.5m and a vesting option for 2016 if he finishes 55 games in 2015, which, wow.

As you can imagine, smart people whom I generally respect on the internet asbolutely hate this:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

…and so on. From a purely objective point of view, good lord, $7.5m a year for Brandon League. Brandon League! A non-elite reliever who lost his closing gig to former bartender Tom Wilhelmsen just last season! And you know our feelings on multi-year deals to non-elite relievers. They never. Ever. Work out. Ever, and you’d think the Matt Guerrier experience would have taught us some lessons here. If League can get that much from the Dodgers, how do they ever expect to sign anyone else for less? I really have a hard time looking at that and thinking that it’ll in any way be worth it; not only that, I have a hard time thinking that we won’t spent the next three years making fun of it.

At any other time, for any other team, we’d be screaming bloody murder over this. And I’m certainly not saying I’m thrilled about it. But on the other hand… what does this really mean? From a baseball perspective, all it means that League is back in the bullpen (as the closer, as we figured). That’s a good thing; he’s no star, but he’s a solid reliever, one who just about any team could find a use for. While it’s hard for me to say he’s clearly better than Kenley Jansen and therefore should absolutely be the closer, that’s besides the point; you can never have too many good relievers, and my preference to have Jansen available for higher-leverage situations in the seventh & eighth is well-known.

So from a baseball point of view, this is no problem. It’s from a financial perspective that is making everyone crazy, because, well, $22.5m for Brandon League. But if we’re simply hoping that our favorite team wins baseball games, money only matters in the sense that if you give too much of it to players who aren’t stars, you might not have enough left over for pieces you really need. We’ve seen Colletti make this mistake in the past, but this is a strange new world of seemingly unlimited finances. In fact, just yesterday I was trying to think through this:

League made $5m in 2012 without the leverage of free agency, so I’d have to think he’s looking for a raise, which over a three-year deal would work out to something more like $20-$25m. In a world where Papelbon is picking up $51m over four years, that seems like a pretty fair price for a good-but-not-elite reliever.

And that’s exactly what League is. Over the last four seasons, League’s FIP numbers have been 3.58, 3.91, 2.78, 3.19. That’s a worthwhile reliever, and it comes along with the added potential, however unlikely, that the mechanical changes League made after coming to the Dodgers is something he can sustain into next season. He’s also not even 30, which is certainly preferable to Guerrier, who turned 33 in the middle of his first season as a Dodger.

If this is the contract that prevents the Dodgers from signing Zack Greinke or someone like him, then yeah, this is a nightmare. But I really, really don’t think it is. If it’s not… then you’ve added a good reliever to a team that needed one. If the Dodgers seemingly don’t care about payroll or the luxury tax, then why should we? (Though we will need to talk about that soon; take a look at our payroll page, and you’ll see that they are easily over $200m for 2013.)

Perhaps I’m just trying to rationalize this. Maybe I’m really putting far too much stock in the mechanical change that made him dominant over the last month or so of the season, because again, I’m not saying this is a good deal. It’s hard to think that League is actually going to be worth all of that money. I also can’t sit here with my head in my hands about it, either, and I’m happier having him in the bullpen in 2013 than not.

Either way, at least someone’s happy about this on Twitter, anyway:

 

331 comments
greghao
greghao

So I've developed a new theory on this move.  Stan Kasten is simply giving Ned Colletti enough rope to hang himself.

 

Le'sigh.  A boy can dream.

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator like.author.displayName like.author.displayName like.author.displayName 3 Like

Anyone want 775 words on Hiroki Kuroda? Because they're live now.

An Actual Goat
An Actual Goat moderator

 @Mike Petriello where is? 

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator

 @Mostly Gruntled Goat next town over from where I grew up and where my parents still live.

HarryDoyle
HarryDoyle

 @Mostly Gruntled Goat   @Mike Petriello You know, MGG.  Wildfires and flooding/hurricanes are not too dissimilar.  I always found the fires pretty eerie with the sky all apocalypsed-out and civilization similarly shut down.  You know that feeling with a spreading wildfire of waiting 'n' watching the reports to see if it comes your way or is heading away from you?  They're both pretty horrible disasters.  #HalfRetard

Capnsparrow
Capnsparrow

 @Mike Petriello  @Mostly Gruntled Goat   Sounds like everything is gonna be good. I often forget that I'm the oldest in my generation of family so I don't have the greatness of my grandfather with me anymore. My folks are older now and they are the end of my lineage still breathing. 20 bucks says your dad sees it as going to make sure your grandparents are taken care of!

An Actual Goat
An Actual Goat moderator

 @Mike Petriello is weird. the only point of reference i have are the wildfires and such that burn hillside neighborhoods, but that seems so much more widespread and eerie. 

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator

 @Mostly Gruntled Goat all safe but without power, and they don't expect it back for two weeks because of the somewhat isolated neighborhood they live in.

Getting Puiggy Wit It (Gilbert)
Getting Puiggy Wit It (Gilbert) like.author.displayName like.author.displayName like.author.displayName like.author.displayName like.author.displayName like.author.displayName like.author.displayName like.author.displayName like.author.displayName 9 Like

MSTI ruined other blogs for me. Im looking through popular Lakers blogs and good ones like this one just dont exist. I wanna give insight to what i saw last night while others chime in with their thoughts as well while the site's main contributor/author chiming in as well from time to time. All i find are rants on the Lakers team who lost last night and the comments are also "ranty" in nature. No one trying to make sense of anything. Just panic. We are truly spoiled here at MSTI lol.

theotherplaza
theotherplaza

 @Gilbert_Vengeance Yeah, I totally agree. Mike is the worst for being so great. 

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator like.author.displayName like.author.displayName 2 Like

 @Mark Ellis Fan  @Gilbert_Vengeance booo at you for changing your user name AND avatar.

theotherplaza
theotherplaza

 @DBrim  I'm not posting stupid shit and he's essentially complaining that I haven't. 

DBrim
DBrim moderator like.author.displayName like.author.displayName 2 Like

@Mostly Gruntled Goat @Mark Ouch.

DBrim
DBrim moderator like.author.displayName 1 Like

@Mark Ellis Fan @Mostly Gruntled Goat If you don't appreciate it, stop posting stupid shit. Simple!

HarryDoyle
HarryDoyle

 @Gilbert_Vengeance I think if I were on a basketball blog, all I could muster would be rants and raunch, e.g., full retard.  At least with baseball I can sound like a 1/2 retard.

An Actual Goat
An Actual Goat moderator like.author.displayName 1 Like

 @Gilbert_Vengeance We've been known to get the odd rant or two, the rest of what you describe is what makes them stand out. Standard response: "ok."

HarryDoyle
HarryDoyle like.author.displayName 1 Like

I think the biggest upside to this whole transaction is the FO's insistence that League is the closer.  I LOVE Jansen as the roving shutdown man who comes in to put out the biggest fires.  Maybe someone in the FO is listening to the interwebs?