There Is Just Nothing Juan Uribe Can’t Do Poorly

Over at FanGraphs, Matt Klaassen has been going through the best and worst plays of 2012 based on WPA. (For those not familiar, that’s “Win Probability Added”, and is a context-based stat which shows how each play in a game added or subtracted from a team’s chance to win. It’s based on situation, so a two-run homer, for example, is far more valuable when you’re down one in the ninth than when you’re up six in the fourth. You can read a full definition here.)

A few days ago, Klaassen looked at the worst bunts of 2012 by WPA; that is, the bunts which did the most damage to a team’s chance of winning. (The correct answer here is probably “all bunts”, but still.) Who’s the very first name on the list? Oh, this is just wonderful:

Worst Bunt into a Double Play

One would think that a bunt into a double play would be the worst overall bunt of the season, but that is not true this year, at least. On May 8, Brett Pill homered off of Clayton Kershaw in the top of the second inning to put the Giants on top of the Dodgers 2-0. By the bottom of the seventh, the Dodgers were still down 2-1, but Ryan Vogelsong, who had been dealing all game, was on the hill. The Dodgers started a nice rally with singles from Juan Rivera and James Loney. It was a nice situation to have — two runners on with no outs. Juan Uribe came to the plate and bunted. It made sense — Uribe’s hitting has totally gone into the tank since making the move from San Francisco to Los Angeles. Maybe he’s a double agent. Buster Posey fielded the bunt and the Giants managed to get both Uribe and the lead runner, costing the Dodgers -.228 WPA. It wasn’t the Dodgers last shot — Andre Ethier‘s double play ball with the bases loaded in the eighth was even more devastating — but Uribe’s bunt was very bad.

I didn’t have a recap of that game, but the disastrous call was not lost on others at the time…

Eric Stephen, “Dodgers Sacrifice Chance To Win In Loss To Giants“:

The Dodgers offense could only manage one run in their 2-1 loss to the Giants Tuesday night, as the Dodgers’ demise was hastened by a pair of ill-fated bunts.

Down one run, the Dodgers threatened in the bottom of the seventh inning off Ryan Vogelsong when Juan Rivera and James Loney opened the frame with singles, but a Juan Uribe sacrifice bunt attempt turned into a 2-5-3 double play that effectively neutered the rally. Uribe has one successful sacrifice bunt attempt in the last three seasons.

Chad Moriyama, “Don Mattingly Regrets Nothing About His Bunting, I Regret Watching The Game“:

In the bottom of the seventh inning, with the Dodgers down one run, the team basically hit the lottery by somehow managing to get Juan Rivera and James Loney to not make outs.

That brought up Juan Uribe in what was clearly a traditional sacrifice situation, especially considering that Uribe sucks. However, while he does have 60 sacrifice bunts in his career over 5121 plate appearances, he’s had only one sacrifice bunt in the last three seasons over the course of 941 plate appearances. As such, it’s safe to say that he’s not exactly accustomed to bunting.

Uribe executing a successful sacrifice is anything but a foregone conclusion, then you add that you’re actually lessening your chances of scoring runs by bunting, and it’s just an overall terrible decision.

Mattingly though, of course, called for the bunt anyway, and it worked out SPLENDIDLY

The next inning, Mattingly called for another bunt with men on, and while this one worked, it merely opened up first base ahead of Matt Kemp. Kemp was of course walked intentionally, and San Francisco lefty Javier Lopez retired lefties Andre Ethier, Loney, & Tony Gwynn to end the threat. Mattingly later said he wouldn’t have changed his decision in either case, even after the fact… and all of a sudden I’m wondering if this post should have been more about Don Mattingly than Juan Uribe.

Either way, bunting is the worst. The. Worst.

306 comments
EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

I guess Hunter is there to be a super-sub OF. Makes some sense given that Kemp is coming off shoulder surgery and Crawford is still iffy off of his. Hunter will probably get a lot of playing time. He can play all 3 OF positions. 

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator

Anyone want 2111 words on insane Dodger spending? no? Here it is anyway.

Gilbert_Vengeance
Gilbert_Vengeance

Insider stuff: Its known that Torii Hunter and Matt Kemp are friends but I didnt think they were THAT close. Torii said on MLB Network today that Torii his son and Matt Kemp traveled to see a Notre Dame game for 2 days. So those 2 are tight. He also said that he's going to sign QUICK. He dosnt want to get to winter meetings. He also said he knows where he wants to go and it didnt sound like it was with the Angels. Wonder if its with his good buddy Kemp and Crawford.

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

I woke up this morning expecting a Phil under the tree and instead got a D'Antoni.

Gilbert_Vengeance
Gilbert_Vengeance

DodgersGM ‏@DodgersGM

All your foreign players are belong to us. #Dodgers

 

Gilbert_Vengeance
Gilbert_Vengeance

 D'Antoni is a good choice. To be honest you couldnt go wrong with either coach him or PJ. There are negatives to both coaches however, With Phil you get the fan favorite but he has all the new players he needs to teach the triangle to and its not an easy thing to pick up. Only a few players remain from the triangle days and you cant really count MWP cuz he never really learned it. Nash would be taken out of his element once more with the triangle since you really dont need a traditional PG for the triangle. The Lakers no doubt win again with Phil but i might have taken a year or 2.

 

Now.

 

With D'Antoni its your classic win now with what we have move. D'Antoni has a PG hes coached with knowledge of the Offense. Players like Nash, D12, and Gasol will absolutely thrive in the offense. Its a very simple offense to run as well as an exciting one. We dont have Bynum dragging up and down the court anymore you have Dwight who can run with the best of em. The negative, We are going to need a defensive bench coach and for that there Nate McMillan out there but its a question if he takes the job. Also you traditionally need some sharp shooters on a D'Antoni team and we dont have many.

 

So yeah i think you cant go wrong either way.Fans will no doubt be sad it wasnt Phil (as i was) but i know Phil wasnt the ideal choice with this roster. The Lakers dont have time to implement another system with the triangle and apparently wernt willing to pay Phil 10+ Million a year to coach mostly home games and games closer to home (Travel Restrictions).

DBrim
DBrim moderator

I like baseball?

Weston Taylor
Weston Taylor

Nothing Dodger-related here, but definitely excited for the new era of the D'Antoni offense, although I wish we still had Odom. He'd be PERFECT for that situation. 

MSTI OG
MSTI OG

I like how a sacramento King broke the news

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

D'Antoni has been hired by the Lakers. I am really disappointed they went to him instead of Sloan or McMillan. 

MSTI OG
MSTI OG

Haha. Bye bye phil hackson. How ya feel about it Magic?

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

Why are there no good Lakers forums? The best one I've seen is Forum Blue and Gold, but it severely pales in comparison to MSTI. Can't Magic Johnson's Tragic Illness exist?

DINGERS!
DINGERS!

@EephusBlue I'm STILL not tuning in till Xmas. Jim Buss may yet prove to be their downfall.

capnsparrow
capnsparrow

 @Catfishin The poor guy can't even go out on a date without the pooparzzi hounding him since Rhianna. No girl in her right mind is gonna dig that.

LA_Woman
LA_Woman

 @LakerDodger24 Baseball attracts more pensive, introspective, literate people. Look at all the wonderful baseball books that have been written.

capnsparrow
capnsparrow

 @LakerDodger24 You can't mske light of Magic's illness which is real. You'd have to call it Kareem's grievous affliction or something. Or Worthy's morbid end. I don't know.

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

 @Catfishin Yes he is, but Kobe isn't fit to run D'Antoni's system. He's probably gonna alter it to fit his players, and I think Kobe will be instrumental for D'Antoni to make any significant changes. 

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

 @LA Woman I'm not so sure that his 7 seconds or less system is good for L.A. Kobe, Gasol and World Peace aren't all that fast, and neither is the bench. Looks like Nash will average 20 assists from here on out. 

MSTI OG
MSTI OG

Ask Dodger owner Magic Johnson he'll talk about it before any Dodger signing. And with that GOood NIiiight America.

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

 @Catfishin  @VietnamDodger Bernie Bickerstaff is the intern Coach until Monday or Wednesday. Even after a new coach is announced, it may take another week for said coach to complete his "take over" if you will. 

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

 @LA Woman Exactly that. Plus, everyone on those blogs wants to use subjective analysis (I.E. He has a sweet looking mid range jumpshot) over objective analysis (I.E. He shoots 46% from mid range). It gets really bias eventually. 

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

 @LA Woman The price was probably too high. I had heard he wanted a big say in basketball operations, which I would have been totally fine with because Phil knows better on what kind of players he needs to run the Triangle. 

LA_Woman
LA_Woman

 @LakerDodger24 I really, really wanted it to be Phil. The players did, too, from all the interviews I heard the last few days (even Nash). And he really seemed to be the best fit. But like I said, he must've really not wanted the job or he wouldn't have made his price so high.

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

 @LA Woman Lucky us! I'm happy and sad about this. I was getting ready for the return of the Zen Master. Alas, D'Antoni is better than Dunleavy, and Mitch thinks he's better for this team than Sloan and McMillan, so I'll trust his decision making. 

LA_Woman
LA_Woman

 @LakerDodger24 I just saw something that said Mike Dunleavy & D'Antoni were Plan B if Phil didn't work out. All I can say is THANK GODDESS it wasn't Dunleavy.

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

 @LA Woman That's true, but I just don't see Bryant, Artest and Gasol running the court on every single possession. I'm thinking he will alter his system to fit the style of play of the players. At least Nash won't look lost anymore. This creates a problem for Steve Blake, who I think isn't fit to run this style of offense. Looks like Darius Morris will get more and more minutes off of the bench once Nash is back. 

LA_Woman
LA_Woman

 @LakerDodger24 I heard someone say, well, in theory his system works -- if you always score more points than the other team, you will indeed win.

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

 @LA Woman I'm just hoping he brings in a defensive specialist to be his assistant (Nate McMillan maybe?). I don't want Lakers games to end 123-109 every night. 

LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)
LakerDodger24 (Kirby Pls)

@LA Woman

Mike Bresnahan ‏@Mike_Bresnahan

Mike D'Antoni signed a four-year deal with the Lakers. Phil Jackson was "asking for the moon," accoring to source familiar w/ the situation.

 

capnsparrow
capnsparrow

 @VietnamDodger Princess, release your anger over the Cowtown Kings having been mopped up tonight in LA.