2012 Dodgers in Review #41: RP Matt Guerrier

3.86 ERA 6.31 FIP 14 IP 5.79 K/9 4.50 BB/9 -0.5 fWAR F

2012 in brief: Proved adage that giving long-term contracts to mediocre relievers is never a good idea as he missed nearly the entire season with arm trouble.

2013 status: Signed for $4.75m in what will mercifully be the final year of his contract.

******

Well, it’s pretty easy to review a guy who threw only 14 innings around four missed months, isn’t it? Matt Guerrier rarely pitched, and wasn’t all that great when he did. Even when he was out, I can’t say anyone missed him.

In fact, Guerrier was thought of so little around here – other than ongoing questions about how his injury, which was originally thought to keep him out for about two weeks, turned into more than four months – that the only time his name popped up in a significant way was on April 18:

But let’s skip right ahead to the tenth inning, because that’s all anyone is going to want to talk about.

Matt Guerrier came in to pitch, and while I absolutely hate the idea of saving your closer on the road for a lead which may never come, Guerra’s been shaky enough the last two times out that I can’t really say it absolutely positively had to be him in that situation, so, fine. Unfortunately, Guerrier was shaky, walking leadoff hitter Jonathan Lucroy, a mistake which was multiplied by A.J. Ellis sailing a throw into center field when Nyjer Morgan (running for Lucroy) attempted to steal second. With one out (thanks to yet another late-inning bunt fail gift), Guerrier intentionally walked Rickie Weeks in an attempt to set up the double play.

That’s fine, except that then Weeks stole second with little resistance from the Dodgers, eliminating the double play possibility. Guerrier made things even worse by walking George Kottaras, because that brought Ryan Braun to the plate. Say what you will about whether Braun really deserved his 2011 awards, but hey, whenever you can walk a backup catcher to get to the NL MVP in a critical situation, why wouldn’t you?

While it’s probably a little unfair to single out that one moment, it’s what we’ve got, so it’s what we’ll go with. If he’s healthy next year, the contract alone will give him a job, though it’s hard to say he’s more than the fifth-best reliever the team has — at best — even when he’s right. With his velocity down, a year lost to arm woes, and his age-34 season coming up, does Guerrier have enough left to even be mediocre? Still loving that contract, let me tell you.

******

Next up! Brandon League gets himself paid!

39 comments
LurkingAtWork
LurkingAtWork

This contract highlights how weird it has been for me to adjust to the Dodgers' new budget (or lack thereof?).  I remember thinking how this was a really poor use of limited $$$ at the time, but now this final 4.5m feels like such a negligible sunk cost.  

DeucesWild
DeucesWild

Happy Festivus for the rest of us!

The Monocle
The Monocle

Bacon, chorizo, clam hash with two runny, poached eggs on top.  Best hangover breakfast I've made in a while.

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

I'd actually be alrightish if they dealt Ethier and signed Bourn

Batted Bob
Batted Bob

Can't wait to read this same article about Brandon League in 2014.

The Monocle
The Monocle

Shit, dudes.  I'm fucking hungover. 

Disgruntled Goat
Disgruntled Goat moderator

Matt Guerrier exists. 

 

So anyways, about Dre/Bourn/Swisher...

Dang88
Dang88

@Bob Meripol awww :(

DINGERS!
DINGERS!

@HarryDoyle The Pirates hang up

Disgruntled Goat
Disgruntled Goat moderator

swisher contract makes Dre's look even worse, IMHO. 

DINGERS!
DINGERS!

@Catfishin @EephusBlue I'd do it, but there better be some prime talent coming back.

DINGERS!
DINGERS!

@Dang88 @HarryDoyle Beefalo for actual Prime Rib?

DINGERS!
DINGERS!

@Disgruntled Goat Ned gonna Ned. When has he NOT overpaid? :/

Dang88
Dang88

maybe if someone else signed him, can we really overpay if money doesn't matter?

DINGERS!
DINGERS!

@Disgruntled Goat @Dang88 @Disgruntled RT @tbla Hey Mets, Padres, Pirates, D-Backs, Phillies, Brewers, White Sox (picks 11-18): sign Lohse, LaRoche & Bourn so Dodgers can move up in 1st rd 7:27am - 23 Dec 12

DINGERS!
DINGERS!

@Dang88 @Disgruntled Bourne got a Q.O, didn't he? A 1st round pick AND eating over 30 million of Dre money sounds TURRIBLE

DINGERS!
DINGERS!

@Dang88 @Disgruntled and Chad.