The Kind of Win That Just Doesn’t Happen

lan_tba_win_chart_2013-08-09The main takeaway from last night’s game? That literally anything can happen in baseball, as you can see from the absurd FanGraphs win expectancy chart, which bottomed out at 0.7% after Carlos Marmol put the first two men on in the top of the eighth, down 6-1. In order to win, so much had to happen at the end. Nick Punto‘s sliced double had to fall just within the foul line, which it did. Ben Zobrist had to terribly misplay Mark Ellis‘ triple in left field, which he did — shocking because Tampa Bay has long been among the most effective defensive teams in the game.

And of course, Fernando Rodney had to not only be completely unable to retire any hitter more dangerous than Dee Gordon, he had to help the Dodgers avoid the inability to pinch-run for the slow-footed Adrian Gonzalez by taking a potentially inning-ending double play ball and launching it to center field.

I’m a firm believer that you make your own luck, and the lousy Dodger defense did their best to make some terrible luck for Chris Capuano early on. But I can’t explain this, because the Rays are an excellent team. This just doesn’t happen, especially when you’re down six runs to David Price. This is just another example of a team that looks like they’re really building towards something special… and they have Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw on the mound for the rest of the weekend. The words, they fail me.

203 comments
Nineteen84
Nineteen84

I'm still not used to the idea that I shouldn't turn off a Dodger game when they are down 6-0 to an opposing team's ace. Missed it all.

slamjoe
slamjoe

I don't believe in karma. The Dodgers will NOT drop the next 2.

Tired Math Cat
Tired Math Cat

I never even thought to look at the fangraphs chart. It's.... it's perfect. It's just so good. 

*VND*
*VND*

Its like Fox never wants to show me the dodgers. Last week I had to watch Garza field bunts. This week its the giants. Fox has a bay area boner

KMT59
KMT59

I know some of you don't care about the #1 seed in the NL or think it's too soon but here it is:

Dodgers solely in 4th place in the NL standings. 

1 game behind the cards. 

5 games behind the Bucs

5.5 games behind the Barves....very obtainable...Go BLUE!!!!

WBBsAs (In Dog We Trust. Un Planeta Sin Gatos)
WBBsAs (In Dog We Trust. Un Planeta Sin Gatos)

Brisbee on the Gnats v. the other orange-and-black: "They lost, sure. But it was fun for a few minutes!"

And "Point is, there weren't a lot of good options because the Gnats don't have a lot of good players."

Pitching and Defense
Pitching and Defense

I'll take credit for the win, went for my birthday yesterday and laughed at the 100 or so people that actually left.

Omer (beercoozie)
Omer (beercoozie)

I'm sure this has already been said, but holy shit, we get a post with a GARPH!

Today should be epic!

Hot pants cool nights
Hot pants cool nights

Last night was the first time in years to confirm to me that something special kiss happening right now like te Yankees In the late90's

Lobo
Lobo

So has anyone worn Eephus' Puig shirt to a game this year?  There's no issue with copyright or anything is there?

Paulstralia
Paulstralia

lol, grant.

"Bruce Bochy intentionally put an extra runner on base to get to Chris Davis. That's like putting on a suit of chainmail before you race an Olympic sprinter. Probably isn't going to help. Probably is not going to help."

KMT59
KMT59

After taking my medicine cocktail (dilaudid/soma, which always knocks me outfor my back last night in the 6th it was great to watch the ending of the game last night. @Mike Petriello how hard would it be to have an actual time stamp on posts for people who follow the game later? Oh and I didn't get to post my post game victory "gif".

Ball Game Dodgers Win!!!!

15 games over .500

18-3 since ASB, 35-8 since 6/22

5.5 gms ahead of the Dbags,

#4 seed, 5.5 gms back of the #1 seed, 1 gm behind the cards

14 straight series win or tie 10-0-4, Going for the Series Sweep tomorrow

Still Streaking!!!!

http://i.imgur.com/AMbO5zV.jpg

Tired Math Cat
Tired Math Cat

My grandmother is here to pick me up. To help her realize why I stayed up so late, I'm going to use that chart. 

*VND*
*VND*

I am but no one agrees

*VND*
*VND*

No one is watching SFG anymore. Not even here.

Iron Brian
Iron Brian

@KMT59 Who's that team LAD that's at the top? They seem to be playing okay. 

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator

@Dogerscribe (VND) yes, but I wouldn't put much stock in any of his season-long stats this year, considering how unusual it's been for him.

Lobo
Lobo

@EephusBlue @Lobo Ok, should be fine then.  My mom said something about copyright infringement and it just got me a little worried.  It doesn't have the Dodgers logo or Puig's likeness or anything though so I don't see why it would be a problem

Mike Petriello
Mike Petriello moderator

@Dogerscribe (VND) also his swinging strike percentage is 9.7%, higher than usual for him. He's missing bats with more pitches than usual, just not ending them with whiffs.

*VND*
*VND*

Needs stratified garph