Dodgers @ D’Backs Sept. 19, 2013: Clinch While No One Is Watching

chasefieldAs you know, I’m a pretty big fan of stats. They’re great. You can do all sorts of things with them! Things that make sense — like know that pitcher wins are stupid — and things that sort of don’t, and that’s where it gets dangerous. If you use stats in the wrong way, or don’t understand what value they’re trying to infer, you can get to a point where you think you’re making an informed decision, but you’re really not. (Also, yes, 74% of all stats are made up.)

That’s how you end up with what is a somewhat interesting lineup today, as Ricky Nolasco and friends try to finish off the National League West against the Diamondbacks and Wade Miley without having to leave town with unfinished business.

Dodgers
D’Backs
RF
Puig
LF
Eaton
1B
Hairston
CF
Pollock
SS
Ramirez
1B
Goldschimdt
CF
Kemp
3B
Prado
2B
M.Ellis
2B
Hill
3B
Uribe
C
Montero
LF
Van Slyke
SS
Gregorius
C
A.Ellis
RF
Parra
P
Nolasco
P
Miley

You’ll notice at first that Adrian Gonzalez is not playing, and while I get the argument of “stop with the rest until the clinch,” pretty much everyone else is, so I can’t say that I care. Also, he has a “cramp in his quad,” so there’s that, though I imagine he’d push through it if this game were important. (Other than Carl Crawford, but Miley is a lefty, and Crawford is really a platoon bat at this point.)

But what I find interesting is that it’s not Michael Young replacing Gonzalez, it’s Jerry Hairston, who would seem to be an emergency option there at best. And as I pondered that for a minute, now I see why: Young is 0-6 against Miley in two games (one with Texas, one with Philadelphia), while Hairston is 4-10. Nevermind that hitter-vs-batter stats are among the most useless ones that exist, or that Hairston is hitting .169/.221/.211 overall in the second half, but because he got a few hits against Miley three months ago (two of which were luckily-placed grounders through the infield, by the way), he plays.

That’s also why, I’m assuming, that Mark Ellis hits fifth ahead of Juan Uribe and Scott Van Slyke, though in that case I won’t complain too much — Ellis has four homers off Miley in just 22 plate appearances, and lineup order isn’t nearly as important as who is in the line up in the first place.

Anyway, this is all the usual nerdery. If the Dodgers don’t clinch today, it really won’t make all that much difference on the postseason, but it will get an already-anxious fan base even more riled up. If for no other reason than that alone, let’s get this done today, shall we?

Fri 10/11Sat 10/12Sun 10/13Mon 10/14Tues 10/15Wed 10/16Thurs 10/17
RR. Belisario9105
LJ.P. Howell152026
RK. Jansen51626
RC. Marmol26
RB. Wilson281411
RC. Withrow2544
RE. Volquez

1898 comments
JoeyE
JoeyE

i wish puig did the dance on their mound 

JoeyE
JoeyE

hanley is so dreamy <3

efb
efb

im so glad Kemp was back too

efb
efb

damn im sooo happy the Dodgers went in the pool. 

P_F_P
P_F_P

Where were Arizona's moral principles when their pitchers were deliberately throwing at our players' heads?

Carver
Carver

Hey, they clinched. That's cool.

DBrim
DBrim moderator

@JoeyE  His next contract terrifies me.

BIah
BIah

@steelmohawk Livefyre's having some issues, they've said they are working on it

TheConman
TheConman

@efb Things that make the Dbacks mad make me soooooo happy

efb
efb

and thanks to LAWoman for the vipbox link so i was able to watch it live

BIah
BIah

Ian Kennedy was shelled today, at least.

*VND*
*VND*

bad luck michael 

LA_Woman
LA_Woman

@efb LOL. Rick Monday said he's not going into that clubhouse to congratulate the team until he knows that all the champagne and beer and mustard and ketchup and everything else has been emptied out. He didn't mention whipped cream. (And then he said he'd do it on the airplane.)

*VND*
*VND*

i wish someone just took their pants off and dropped a deuce