Dodgers @ Padres Sept. 21, 2013: Kershaw’s Last Real Start?

petco_park_opener2013So after last night’s hilarity — Drew Butera! At first base! — the Dodgers put out something that actually resembles the real lineup that they might go with in October, Nick Punto subbing for Hanley Ramirez aside.

That includes Clayton Kershaw on the mound, and there’s a good chance that this is his last “real” start of the regular season. Depending on how Don Mattingly handles Monday’s off day, Kershaw could either start September 26 in San Francisco, or (more likely) September 27 back at home against Colorado. Either way, those are the kind of meaningless games where you can easily see Kershaw getting a three- or four-inning tune-up just to make sure he doesn’t have too much time off before the playoffs, but not really being pushed all that hard.

Dodgers
Padres
RF
Puig
CF
Denorfia
LF
Crawford
3B
Headley
CF
Kemp
2B
Gyorko
1B
Gonzalez
LF
Guzman
3B
Uribe
1B
Medica
2B
M.Ellis
RF
Blanks
C
A.Ellis
C
Hundley
SS
Punto
SS
Cedeno
P
Kershaw
P
Smith

If so, and if he has a usual Kershaw start tonight, let’s say that he has something like 11 innings remaining in his regular season. That would put him at 234 innings, breaking the high he set in 2011 — when the Dodgers did not have to worry about postseason play, of course, — and it would mean that (assuming the 11 innings, which is of course a guess) he needs to give up no more than three earned runs over his next two starts if he wants to keep that ERA under 2 and guarantee the Cy Young award he’s likely to get no matter what.

Can he do it? In three starts against San Diego this year, he’s allowed two, three, and four earned runs, though the Dodgers have lost all three, scoring just two runs in each game. Other than seeing how Matt Kemp can perform, that’s really the only intrigue we’re likely to see tonight.

While this may be basically it for Kershaw, it sounds like Andre Ethier is progressing, per Tony Jackson, and we’re likely to see him during the upcoming series in San Francisco, so that’s something.

Fri 10/11Sat 10/12Sun 10/13Mon 10/14Tues 10/15Wed 10/16Thurs 10/17
RR. Belisario9105
LJ.P. Howell152026
RK. Jansen51626
RC. Marmol26
RB. Wilson281411
RC. Withrow2544
RE. Volquez

177 comments
LA_Woman
LA_Woman

ACK!!! Kershaw can haz win! BIG NASTY REDHEAD!!!

steelmohawk
steelmohawk

Who is our setup man going into the post season?  

Bull Doggy Dogg
Bull Doggy Dogg

"Wilson can still bring it... In the lingo of the young pitchers" I love you Vin

KMT59
KMT59

Ball Game!!!! Still with the number 3 seed with 7 games to go

2.5 behind Atl, 2 behind StL, tied with Pit

Looks like we will be starting on the road people with game 3 at DS with Ryu starting



http://i.imgur.com/AMbO5zV.jpg

Tired Math Cat
Tired Math Cat

54 has had an interesting number history, for the Dodgers. Since Giovani Carrara had the number in 2006, everyone who's had the number 54 since then has been a pitcher, including Clayton Kershaw. 

WBBsAs (In Dog We Trust. Un Planeta Sin Gatos)
WBBsAs (In Dog We Trust. Un Planeta Sin Gatos)

Gnats worried about the Busted Poseur, according to SJ Mercury: "You expect the Poseur to be in the MVP race, and instead he has as many second-half extra-base hits as Joaquin Arias. He’s got one fewer homer after the All-Star break (two) than his backup, Hector Sanchez. The Poseur has a .247 average and .640 OPS since visiting New York in July, and those numbers have plummeted this week. He’s 2 for 29 on the road trip. Surely he’s still trying to work his way back from a fractured finger?

'No – absolutely not,' the Poseur said after Saturday’s 0 for 4.

The answer might be a more simple one, anyway. The Poseur played a full season in 2010 as a rookie catcher on a championship team, and he carried a heavy load last year as the MVP catcher on a championship team. In between, months and months of grueling rehab after he blew himself up at home plate. Maybe, he has finally worn down. The Poseur and Bochy won’t admit it, but the 'catcher' came close on Saturday. Asked how he planned to spend his offseason, the Poseur said he needed to do “strength training to where I feel good all year.”

Blue Collar
Blue Collar

Puig gets a chance to hit one 459 ft. now.

Carver
Carver

Good job, Mr. McGwire 

KMT59
KMT59

Wilson or Jansen for the 9th

P_F_P
P_F_P

@KMT59 Damn it dude mlb.tv still has the count as 2-1.

Tired Math Cat
Tired Math Cat

I don't know, I just find it interesting that it's been a number limited to pitchers for 7 years

P_F_P
P_F_P

@WBBsAs (Malamute Cat Control Services)  Seriously, to read Grant it's like the Giants have gone the last 490 years without a playoff appearance, and they're coming off two miracle titles in the last three years. I get that that's kind of his schtick but jeez.