Clayton Kershaw’s Contract Looks Even Better

clayton_kershaw_openingday2013Jon Heyman comes through with the details on Clayton Kershaw‘s contract:

2014: $22m ($18m signing bonus, $4m salary)
2015: $30m
2016: $32m
2017: $33m
2018: $33m
—————-
2019: $32m
2020: $33m

Why is there a dotted line after 2018? That’s because that’s when his opt-out date is, and if he chooses to opt out — and walk away from the $65m due him in the final two years — the Dodgers would have essentially signed him to a 5/$150m contract.  Think about that for a second, won’t you? We were worried this would be $300 million, and that’s less guaranteed money than Manny Ramirez got 13 years ago

Yes, pitchers carry more risk than hitters, but still. I’m not saying that I want him to opt out, of course, but the fact that Kershaw is staying for at least the next five years on a contract that is large but not even close to being obscene, as we all worried? Honestly, I’m stunned. I love this deal. I love it hard.

588 comments
KMT59
KMT59

You guys realize that if your local cable / satellite provider carries SportsNet LA then you won't have to pay for MLB extra innings to see all the Dodger games

KMT59
KMT59

Morning all...time to sign Tanaka

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

I still really believe that Tanaka is coming to the Dodgers

KMT59
KMT59

huge savings

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

@KMT59 Not if lobo and his sogginess have anything to do with it

TrueBlue726
TrueBlue726

@EephusBlue Same here.  His agent just completed a deal for Kershaw, and he will help the Dodgers out by convincing Tanaka to go with Dodgers instead of Yankees.

KMT59
KMT59

@DBrim I hope Directv doesn't drag their feet in making the deal with TWC

TrueBlue726
TrueBlue726

@DodgerBytes Cubs may be that team that'll grossly overpay for Tanaka just so their fans will be duped into thinking the team is somehow playoff caliber.  Dodgers don't REALLY need to sign Tanaka but I still hope they will.  You can never have enough pitching.  Maybe they can trade a healthy Billingley or Beckett to a desperate team like the Cubs later. 

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

@DodgerBytes Yeah I am somewhat worried about them. They missed out on Ryu and everyone is laughing at their mascot

DBrim
DBrim moderator

I wouldn't be so dismissive.

Lobo
Lobo

"For the Dodgers, baseball’s $189 million luxury tax limit is a tiny gnat on the windshield of an 18-wheeler that’s holding all of Guggenheim Partners’ cash and doing 110 on the 110."

Lobo
Lobo

@EephusBlue @KMT59 I wouldn't be opposed to it, I just don't think it's gonna happen.  Someone else needs him more than we do and is willing to pay more

KMT59
KMT59

@DBrim Ths also means I don't have to buy MLB extra innings

TrueBlue726
TrueBlue726

@Lobo @EephusBlue @KMT59 I would give Tanaka 5 year, $100 mil offer, then walk away if Yankees offer more.  I think Tanaka is smart to know that Dodgers are a team on the rise, while Yankees are on decline.  If he goes with Yankees he'll be playing for a losing team, in a cold place far away from home and lack of Japanese population to be with.  That is if he's smart.

Lobo
Lobo

@Weston Taylor @Lobo @Disgruntled Goat @EephusBlue @KMT59 It's not that I think we'll be better with someone like that, I just don't think 100 million is worth the upgrade from ZLee to Tanaka, especially since ZLee would be under team control for just as long, if not longer

Weston Taylor
Weston Taylor

@Lobo @Disgruntled Goat @EephusBlue @KMT59 But, as you said before, you're operating under the pretense that the Tanaka signing would somehow hinder the club financially. I'm inclined to believe that any outrageous signing they agree too isn't going to hurt their future of signing any lavish free agent that they want. 

Lobo
Lobo

@Disgruntled Goat @Lobo @EephusBlue @KMT59 It's not so much the difference as a fan, I just think that there is indeed a threshold for Tanaka and it's somewhere between 80 and 100 million.  I"m just speaking in round numbers because it's easier

Lobo
Lobo

@EephusBlue @Lobo @KMT59 Again, I know there are a lot of reasons to want him.  He'd give us a phenomenal rotation, he'd be good marketing in Japan, etc.  But I just think there are too many risks to give him more than 100 million.  If we could somehow sign him for like 5/80, that would be phenomenal.  But I'm not totally comfortable with giving him 100 before even including the posting fee

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

@Weston Taylor @EephusBlue @Lobo @KMT59 Now this I agree with. The Yankees may sign him and if they do I expect it to be a gross overpay. They are the hungry man shopping for groceries. Thats when you end up with 18 bags of cheetos 

EephusBlue
EephusBlue moderator

@Lobo @EephusBlue @KMT59 I do believe he could go elsewhere depending on how much of an overpay they give. If the CUbs want to give him 150mil then let him go there. But I dont think they will. I do believe his interest in the west coast is real and not as much of a smoke screen.