Dodgers Fall Short, Because It’s Against the Angels

I’d like to act like I’m surprised that the Dodgers lost another series to the Angels (that’s six in a row) or ended up below .500 in interleague play yet again, but how can I be? It was all but pre-determined, and this edition of the Dodgers, right now, isn’t good enough to overcome that. Through the top of the seventh, Aaron Harang & Garrett Richards provided the decent-but-not-great performances you expect out of guys like that, allowing three runs apiece, though Harang somehow managed to not strike out a single Angel in that time. Josh Lindblom fell apart in the bottom of the seventh, allowing the fourth and fifth Angel runs to score, and the Dodger offense in the late innings had little hope against Scott Downs and Ernesto Frieri.

You can argue that shoddy umpiring hurt the Dodgers today, and it did, but that goes both ways, since Peter Bourjos was unfairly robbed of a double that was called foul. (He ended up taking that advantage and homering, of course.) This loss isn’t on the blue, though. It’s on James Loney for seeing three pitches in three plate appearances and creating four outs. It’s on Adam Kennedy for making yet another error. It’s on Lindblom for not getting the job done. It’s on Elian Herrera for going 0-4, and are we almost to the point where it’s acceptable to point out that he’s a career minor leaguer who had a great hot streak to debut and hasn’t been very good lately? No, not yet? Okay, soon then.

Thanks to the incredible start this club had over the first two months, the June slump hasn’t cost them their division lead. But they’re only three games up on the Giants now, and they march right into San Francisco for three starting tomorrow. They get lucky in that they don’t see Matt Cain, and they don’t see Madison Bumgarner. It’s going to take more than luck to return home on Thursday as division leaders.

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Of course, the other big news of the day was that Kevin Youkilis was traded from Boston to the White Sox for middling pitcher Zach Stewart, who doesn’t miss bats or avoid hits, and utility guy Brent Lillibridge, who can’t hit. Each were on their third organization. We can’t possibly know what the Dodgers were offering or what the Red Sox were asking for, but if that’s what the price was? Yeah, I’d have taken that risk. Absolutely. Some scouts think Youkilis is cooked, and maybe he is, but for Chicago, this is playing with house money, because if he bombs, they’ve lost little. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are still stuck with Loney (0-3 today) and Juan Uribe (awful every day).

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Wait, I don’t want to end on a down note. Hey, Bobby Wilson, how terrifying is it to try to throw out Dee Gordon?

Dodgers Complete Sweep of Team That Vaguely Resembles the Phillies

I have to say, it was hard to watch today’s 8-3 win over the Phillies without cringing, at least a little. If you remember, before the game I shared some tweets from Phillies beat reporter Ryan Lawrence about how today’s Philadelphia lineup just might have been the worst defensive group he could ever remember the club putting out. That proved prescient, since the Phillies went out and committed three errors, including two in a row by third baseman Ty Wigginton in the fourth inning – and easily could have been charged with a fourth on an Andre Ethier ball which went off first baseman John Mayberry‘s glove in the ninth inning, on which two runs scored. It’s not like the Dodgers didn’t contribute to the sloppy game either, making two miscues of their own, but if we’re not seeing the dying days of the Philadelphia dynasty, it sure felt like something close to it.

Still, that’s a Phillies problem, and after the back-to-back beatings the Dodgers took at their hands in the NLCS in 2008 and 2009, it’s hard to feel much sympathy for them. All that matters now is that this team went into Philadelphia, knowing they had to face both Cliff Lee & Cole Hamels, and took all four games, sweeping a four-game set there for the first time since 1946. As someone on Twitter pointed out, and apologies for not marking down who, the Dodgers rolled into Philly and swept all four games despite a grand total of one hit from Ethier & Matt Kemp. (And as noted above, that Ethier double could easily have stayed an error, as it was originally scored.)

Aaron Harang was solid if not overwhelming, keeping the Phillies off the board in five of six innings, though allowing them to take a 3-0 lead with three in the third. (Though all three runs were earned, both of the Dodger errors came in that frame, which didn’t help matters.) Once again, the mighty mite Dodger offense struck back without the benefit of the big blow, as Ethier’s double was the only one of the 12 Dodger hits which went for more than one base. Each Dodger starter had at least one other than Alex Castellanos & Elian Herrera, and Herrera more than made up for that with two walks and two runs scored.

Really, if there was any downside to what was otherwise a wonderful sweep, it was the debut of Shawn Tolleson, who threw 10 pitches in the ninth and saw only two cross the plate, walking each of the two hitters he faced. Ronald Belisario was forced to enter to clean up the mess.

Continuing their “20 games in 20 days” marathon, the Dodgers head off to Seattle to kick off their interleague schedule tomorrow night. With 37 wins, they’re four ahead of Texas and five ahead of Washington (who have each either lost or are in the process of losing today) for the best record in baseball; potentially more impressive, at least to me, is that their +41 run differential is behind only Texas and St. Louis for the best in the game. Your 2012 Dodgers, ladies and gentlemen. Just as we expected!

Dodgers Cut Short Losing Streak Behind Aaron Harang

Losing streak, over.

Aaron Harang, surprisingly decent.

Tony Gwynn, three runs, zero hits, one walk.

Juan Nicasio, injured after 1.2 innings.

Adam Kennedy, atrocious good luck charm from the #5 spot.

Bobby Abreu, first Dodger homer.

Assumed TV ratings for this game in LA watching a windy, rainy day in Colorado without Matt Kemp or Troy Tulowitzki: less than the words in this recap.

Dodger Offense Sputters in Final Game Without Matt Kemp

Earlier tonight I half-seriously mentioned that after hitting another home run in his rehab stint in Albuquerque, maybe Matt Kemp could hop on a plane and be in Los Angeles by game time. I was joking – mostly – but after the Dodgers kicked off the first game of a four-game set against Milwaukee by scoring only two runs against Shaun Marcum and friends, it’s clear they could have used his help. Then again, considering the starting outfield of Bobby Abreu, Tony Gwynn, & Andre Ethier combined to get five of the team’s eight hits, perhaps the presence of Kemp may not have made much of a difference, unless he’s suddenly learned how to play shortstop or first base in his time away.

The two runs the Dodgers did manage to get across just may have been enough had Aaron Harang not teamed up with first base umpire Todd Tichenor to make for a nightmare sixth inning. Leading off in a 1-1 game, Norichika Aoki tapped softly back to the mound, but Harang’s throw to James Loney was poor, forcing the first baseman across the bag to grab it. To Loney’s credit, he was able to keep his foot on the bag while coming down with the ball – clearly confirmed on replay – but Tichenor called Aoki safe, yet another poor call in what seems like a litany of them this year. Harang was unable to recover, walking Ryan Braun and then allowing Aramis Ramirez – who had homered for the first Milwaukee run – to single in Aoki, giving the Brewers a 2-1 advantage. Javy Guerra entered in relief and retired George Kottaras on a sacrifice bunt, but allowed the third run on a Rickie Weeks sacrifice fly.

The Dodgers threatened in the eighth – scoring once on a Jerry Hairston single – and the ninth, getting the tying run to second base, but it wasn’t enough; the middle infield was particularly brutal, as Elian Herrera & Dee Gordon combined to go 0-8 with six strikeouts.

Anyway, Kemp will be finally back tomorrow, as will Nathan Eovaldi. (This almost certainly means that Jerry Sands & Michael Antonini will be headed out, though we’ll have to see.) But will Roy Oswalt? I still think that rumored interest in him is a total longshot at best, given the full Dodger rotation and his stated preference for not heading west, but the story just won’t seem to go away

Dodger Rotation Exceeding Expectations

Aaron Harang shut down San Diego for seven scoreless innings last night, allowing just four hits without a walk, and while there’s a pretty convincing argument to be made that “it was in Petco and against the terrible Padres,” Harang’s solid outing is yet another in a string of quality starting pitching from the Dodgers through the first quarter of the season. The five Dodger starters are currently second in baseball in ERA, batting average against, & OPS against, with only the outstanding Washington rotation fronted by Stephen Strasburg besting them in each of those areas.

While it’s fair to expect some regression, considering the Dodgers have spent most of the season playing either in the large parks of the NL West, against non-competitive offenses – and the fact that other than Harang, they’re all out-pitching their FIP by a considerable amount – it’s becoming clear that the Dodger rotation is looking a lot more effective than we expected it to be when Ned Colletti ended up with Harang & Chris Capuano rather than Hiroki Kuroda or someone else back in the offseason. Capuano, fully healthy for probably the first time in six years, has been very effective at the back of the rotation along with Harang, and despite Chad Billingsley‘s struggles, the only one I’m really worried about at the moment is Ted Lilly. Sure, 5-0 and 2.11 looks swell, but a decreased strikeout rate (5.17, which would be by far the lowest of his career), an increased walk rate (3.29, highest since 2006), and an absolutely unsustainable BABIP (.196) does concern me about what’s to come.

Still, on the whole the rotation has been great, even considering that we arguably haven’t seen Clayton Kershaw at his best yet, and that opens up a variety of options for the future. Though much has been made of the lack of depth in the minor league organization, if there’s anything the Dodgers have in spades, it’s young, right-handed starting pitching. We’ve already seen Nathan Eovaldi, who would already be in the bigs on many other teams, and Rubby De La Rosa, expected to make his way back from Tommy John surgery later this year. Coming behind them at Double-A Chattanooga (because let’s face it, Triple-A Albuquerque is no place for young pitching) are Allen Webster, Matt Magill, Chris Withrow, & Ethan Martin (plus lefties Chris Reed & Aaron Miller); behind them are Zach Lee, Garrett Gould, & Angel Sanchez. That’s in addition to a new ownership group expected to go out and spend where needed, putting free agents like Cole Hamels & Zack Greinke within reach for the first time in years – and don’t forget, the entire rotation is signed for next year as well.

While I just can’t imagine that we’re going to be speaking about these same five so favorably in May of 2013 – the odds of at least one of the older trio of Lilly, Capuano, & Harang either getting hurt or imploding performance-wise in the next year are astronomical – it’s a clear area of depth for the Dodgers to draw upon to fix more urgent needs, like first base. And third base. And possibly left field. And potentially shortstop. While we all get attached to our own prospects and envision them all in Dodger blue some day (hell, I still get regular questions from people wondering if the Dodgers can bring Blake DeWitt back) it’s important to be realistic and understand that not all of the guys I mentioned above are going to be on this team in the future; with the failure rate of pitching prospects, it’s probably likely that a majority will either not be successful major leaguers or not part of the Dodgers.

It’s here, of course, that I need to put out my regular reminder that I don’t mind trading prospects, as long as it’s in the right deal. People forget that the act of trading Carlos Santana alone wasn’t a mistake; trading him for a decent-but-not-great third baseman when the Indians were also selling C.C. Sabathia to Milwaukee for less was the mistake. Prospects exist to provide value. Sometimes that value is in being on your team, and sometimes it’s in being cashed out for other pieces.

Considering the threadbare offensive options on the free agent market next winter, with only Andre Ethier & Josh Hamilton real difference makers at the plate, the Dodgers are going to have to fill those needs through trade. Their deepest area as far as trade chips is clearly in starting pitching, so as the weeks go on and sellers become more clearly identified, it makes all the sense in the world to identify those opportunities. Maybe that’s Kevin Youkilis, or Paul Konerko, or Chase Headley, or Carlos Lee, or someone else. I know some fans will be turned off by the idea of sending a prospect for an older veteran like that, but as long as it’s someone productive – and dear lord, not someone like Aubrey Huff or Chone Figgins – it’s a move that makes all the sense in the world. Thanks, in no small part, to the surprisingly effective Dodger rotation.